Ring the bells that still can ring, Forget your perfect offering… © Billiam James 2022
This post inaugurates a new Cause and Effect Forum which can now be found as a Tab on dhblog.wpengine.com. Some of the Forum pieces will appear here also but the Cases at its heart will primarily appear there. When a little more complete, roughly four sections in, the Forum can be printed off and used to ask questions of family and friends, doctors, medical registration boards, politicians, church leaders who know what Jesus would have done, or anyone who has an interest in these neglected but cornerstone issues. Comments can be posted on relevant blog posts. Questions about the cases or other correspondence will need to be sent to me on david.healy54@gmail.com.
The Covid Vaccines have introduced us to an issue that everyone on a medical treatment faces – how do we tell when a drug, a device, or a vaccine is causing, or has caused a problem?
For harms related to other drugs or devices, most of us could ignore the issue because we weren’t taking the drug, perhaps an SSRI antidepressant, or didn’t have a device, like a vaginal mesh, in us. But with the vaccines, close to all of us are vaccinated and, if we have children, we are faced with decisions about getting them vaccinated.
Every so often, mention of harms linked to vaccines leaks out into the mainstream media, where they are quickly branded as misinformation and shut down.
Any previous vaccine program that had a fraction of the numbers of reports to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting system (VAERS), run by the US Centers for Disease Control (CDC), as the Covid vaccines have would have been suspended a month or two into the vaccine roll-out. But not this one. The reports of harms get written off as anecdotes. “Anyone can report to the VAERS system, you know, are you sure these aren’t just coming from bots?”
This all took on a personal meaning a few months ago when I met Brianne Dressen and others who appeared to have been injured by the vaccines. I got to interview them and review their medical records prior to a meeting organized to bring the question of vaccine harms out of the shadows.
The meeting was organized for November 2, 2021, by Brianne, along with Peter Doshi, Linda Simoni-Wastila and Kim Witczak. Peter and Linda are senior figures in a Pharmacy Department, so not able to be hostile to physical treatments or they’d be out of business. Kim is a patient representative on FDA panels that approve new drugs, with a brief to ensure we get access to effective and safe drugs. Peter is also a Senior Editor for the British Medical Journal (BMJ). While Kim has done a lot to highlight the need to inform people of treatment hazards, neither Peter nor Linda had done so prior to this. Their motivation came from a concern about mandates when we knew so little about the treatments. All four described themselves as true blue (Democrats).
Brianne and Kim’s political links enabled the meeting to be convened in the Capitol. The media were invited. None showed up. Recordings of the proceedings disappeared from almost all online sites soon after hosting, branded as misinformation. The media thinking seemed to be that these injured people might think they had been harmed but we, the media, know better.
There was no question in my mind that the 10 people talking about their injuries at this meeting had been injured in just the way they claimed. Maybe they were the only 10 people in the world who had ever been injured by the vaccines (all 4 of the major vaccines) but the idea these injuries were non-existent, co-incidental or all in the minds of these 10 was just wrong – vaccine injuries video-clip.
Equally extraordinary was that before and after this meeting, people I have known for decades, and figured thought much the same way as me, got in touch to tell me I should have nothing to do with this stuff. There might be some element of truth in it but giving ‘these issues’ airtime would do harm.
It wasn’t just friends of long-standing who couldn’t understand what I was doing, Peter, Linda and others couldn’t quite get hold of what I was thinking when I made it clear I didn’t think Facebook or the Mainstream Media were being malicious in making the meeting disappear. The problem doesn’t seem to me to lie in the media – See One Algorithm to Rule us all.
It was clear ‘these issues’ needed airtime. Hence Cause and Effect.
This Tape will Self-Destruct
Everyone needs briefing on the rules of this life and death game we are all now involved in. How do we work out what is happening or what has happened to us? Should we just trust others to tell us the score?
This briefing begins with 10 injury cases. The point is not the injuries but how we go about establishing if in this case the vaccine, or in other cases a drug, has caused an injury.
Can a drug cause, and Did it cause an injury, are two different questions. There may be lots of evidence that this drug Can cause that injury and the person was on this drug and has that injury – but the conclusion might be that in this case the drug Didn’t cause the injury. Equally, there may appear to be no evidence that vaccine Can cause this injury, but the conclusion might be that it Did in this case. Some experts are great on Can but lousy on Did and vice versa.
The ten cases are more about Did than Can.
It is followed by a section on Can that looks at how Can and Did began to get confused, and who has a vested interest in either making sure they remain confused or getting us to stick to Can rather than Did.
A third section hinges on your Name. You might think Can and Did are all about finding twisted chemicals to explain the way a drug or vaccine might twist our bodies or brains. Or you might think that running scientific evaluations like controlled trials is critical. What has gone missing here is the fact that the first step in establishing cause and effect is putting your Name in the frame. Cause and effect gets twisted when your Name is eliminated from the frame.
If there is a doctor involved, their name needs to go in there too. If s/he balks at this, you need to change doctors and maybe tell them they are going out of business unless they get a grip on what should be their birthright – making a judgment call on harms.
Sharing your Name is where you take a first step to create reality. The often-heard phrase the personal is political never had more meaning than here. But the harms of treatment will introduce you to a twist on the phrase you don’t usually imagine or hear.
A fourth section introduces you to the faceless namelessness that at the moment you depend on to give you your Can and Did answers. You are likely in the company of our politicians, media, and medical professionals on this one. You are asking these nameless people to be father figures and look after you. This is not the role of the regulators of medicines. Instead, at present, they are the primary creators of misinformation.
A fifth section will tell you all we know at the moment about any tests we have that might help confirm what is happening to you. It will point to other resources and ways to organize that might help you and others to make a difference.
A sixth section will try to pull these strands together. Other sections may appear as we go along.
Blue, Red, Orange and Green
The battle scene above is Bill James’ take on the Battle of the Boyne in 1690. There are things hidden in here, which will be revealed in the Sections to come.
This Battle divided Ireland into Orange and Green. Protestants and Catholics. For over a century after that, Orange and Green often worked well together to get rid of the English, but for the past 150 years the divisions have been deep and murderous. At present they are bridged tenuously.
Covid has weakened the tenuous bridges across similar divides in the United States, and many other countries, pitting Red against Blue, mandates against common sense, with Blues claiming a direct line to Absolute Truth through Science and Reds countering that there is more to life than fear. You’ll have to decide for yourself which side is better described as Catholic and which as Protestant. There is no escaping into Jewish, Muslim, Hindu or Atheist. An old Belfast joke has it that a foreigner, mugged in an alley and asked with a knife to his throat – ‘are you Catholic or Protestant’ – responded ‘neither, I’m X (insert Hindu, Muslim, Atheist or Jew to your choosing), to which the comeback was ‘are you Catholic X or Protestant X?’
The Battle of the Boyne took place right beside Newgrange, in Ireland, which can literally be said to be home to the Crack through which the Light gets in. A place that makes 300 years of history, and their place in it, seem less important than our leaders might think. A place for which even the word sacred seems insufficient.
The forum would ideally be called The Crack through which the Science Gets In but this is too long for the Tab on the blog. So Cause and Effect it is. The harms of treatment are the Crack through which the Light of Science gets in. We block this at our peril.
annie says
The original painting was Stunning, without the Crack, Battle of the Boyne between James II and William III, 11 July 1690, Jan van Huchtenburg.
Leonard Cohen has written a ridiculous amount of great lines over his long career, but few can compare to “Forget your perfect offering/There is a crack in everything/That’s how the light gets in.” It’s the key line on “Anthem,” one of the standout tracks from his 1992 disc The Future.
He was no Saint.
Over a Million People Were Injured by Covid Vaccines; One Woman Stands Up for Them
Teacher Brianne Dressen recounts her horrifying and ongoing vaccine ordeal—and the coverup of adverse reactions by health officials, mainstream media, and the New England Journal of Medicine
https://rescue.substack.com/p/a-million-americans-were-injured
Don’t Look Up
https://www.imdb.com/video/vi15057689?playlistId=tt11286314&ref_=tt_ov_vi
With only six months until the comet makes impact, managing the 24-hour news cycle and gaining the attention of the social media obsessed public before it’s too late proves shockingly comical – what will it take to get the world to just look up?.
Dr Pedro says
Prozac, Paxil, Wellbutrin, Effexor, Ritalin, Focalin
More on this celebrity’s battle with anti-depressants:
https://allanshowalter.com/2019/02/21/leonard-cohens-clinical-depression-its-medical-treatment-its-resolution/
Includes a link to a live performance of “Anthem”
annie says
Thank you for this, Dr. Pedro
Who are Our Friends and Colleagues?
Looking on one-hand, it sure wasn’t the Uni of Toronto, Keller and Nemeroff ; then it was primarily the RIAT Group thrashing out the Study 329 and associated harms – to us
Reading the Comments and Making Friends…
Study329.org: The Panorama Files
August, 27, 2015 | 23 Comments
https://davidhealy.org/study329-org-the-panorama-files/
Paul D. Thacker@thackerpd
The investigation I wrote for @bmj_latest on data integrity issues in in Pfizer’s #COVID19 clinical trial, now has an Altimetric score of over 46K–the second highest ever–and has been picked up by over 100 media outlets. https://bmj.com/content/375/bmj.n2635
https://www.bmj.com/content/375/bmj.n2635
https://www.bmj.com/content/375/bmj.n2635/rapid-responses
Paul D. Thacker@thackerpd ·
3h
Gracias, @JuanGrvas!
annie says
Juan Gérvas
@JuanGrvas
Don’t you regret having been vaccinated against covid19, being dying and going to die from covid19? About vaccines, the horror of being vaccinated against covid19 and dying from covid19 itself.
“So much risk for nothing!”
Dialogue between a dying person and his doctor. Between belief and science, in a case of covid19
Gervas, John
https://www.actasanitaria.com/opinion/el-mirador/dialogo-entre-moribundo-su-medico-entre-creencia-ciencia-en-caso-covid19_2001224_102.html
In a dialogue between a dying man and his doctor, the author threads a series of considerations around the covid19 vaccine, with special emphasis on the absence of scientific data on the whole process.
NOTE
This text is inspired by the “Dialogue between a priest and a dying man” by the Marquis de Sade.
susanne says
I don’t get why the friends and colleagues were so hostile or at least anxious about the idea. What was their concern? Which part of the ‘stuff’ would they rather avoid discussing publicly ?That there are adverse effects is no secret by now so it would seem Rxisk and DH should be the place to investigate. It is discouraging to realise that those who would be expected to be keen to set up a forum are more in favour of blocking the light than letting it in. It is confusing as to whether they think investigating the cause and effects is going to stir up problems so keep quiet,which would seemingly be agaianst the ethos of the blogs or do they not think ‘this issue’ is serious enough to go ahead? What did they think the consequences would be if the idea went ahead. Wish they could make their views public on the blog. What is the purpose of the blogs other than to let some light shine on the darness? I hope the new forum is going to an open rather than closed one which could be a risk when confidential information is being shared within a small group It’s an issue of trust that findings would not be with -held if members of the group dealing with the information shared by contributers do not agree on what can be published. As anxiety is already been shown this could become an issue. Hopefully though when things get going the forum could take things further than Rxisk reports alone can do.
TheCovidPilot says
“I don’t get why the friends and colleagues were so hostile or at least anxious about the idea.”
Fear. Fear of being made fun of. Fear of not going along with the herd. Fear of being called an “antivaxxer.” Fear of being called a “conspiracy theorist.”
For some, it means that they would have to engage in critical thinking, with all the work that implies. And it would take time from leisure pursuits and earning a living.
susanne says
What I was refrring to is the people who do have support amongs colleagues and friends (which David referred to)but still wish to keep silent themselves and try to persuade others to do so There is something other than fear going on .People like to belong to what is perceived to be the strongest group some are by nature rebellious and so on . There is enough groundswell to make a whole army of those who will and some who do speak out – they need to do it together and as the freedom fighters and DH and others are doing recruit those outside the club to assist in providing honest, according to what they know which may be revised of course, access to information and debate. Frankly I have enormous sympathy with those who are too afraid to resist or speak out for whatever reason.
TheCovidPilot says
Dr. Healy,
When someone makes the claim that “RCTs are the ‘gold standard’ of science,” that person is entering the field of Philosophy of Science. Now philosophers aren’t too well thought of, I’m not sure why–maybe they are too creative in their thinking or maybe some professor in an intro course engages in some impractical question like “Do chairs think?” So it’s easy for people to dismiss what philosophers have to say.
But it’s a pity, because philosophers actually think very hard about things and have useful insights. And they have shared some of their thinking with all of us. And that thinking undercuts pharma’s control of research.
https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/medicine/#RandContTriaEvidBaseMedi
David Healy says
Its an industry line that doctors and philosophers swallow
D
TheCovidPilot says
Far from all philosophers and doctors. But some, I’ll grant you.
And the website that I linked criticizes the pharma narrative, if not pharma.
I think that an idealistic approach to thinking biases people towards packaged thinking like “RCTs are the ‘gold standard’ of research.” Critical thinking takes work.
People who have put in the work can always tell if others have put in the work or not.
Patrick D Hahn says
Sooner or later, all the mandates will be lifted. All the people spewing out hatred and venom at people for not wearing masks or not getting the shot will immediately stop using the face diapers themselves, and they’ll stop worrying about other people’s vaccination status. All the people scattering out of my way like frightened rats as I walk along Stony Run will resume behaving like normal human beings. When a beloved grandmother or grandfather dies, the surviving family members will get together and remember their departed loved one, as they always have, rather than going on television and engaging in angry finger-pointing because it MUST be someone else’s fault.
But the hatred and division sown by our rulers will be poisoning our society for many years to come.
Patrick D Hahn says
Here’s my take on the meeting of the Expert Panel:
https://patrickdhahn.substack.com/p/standing-up-to-tyranny-the-expert?r=1zvyi
Neil says
Hello Dr Healy, hope you are well?
It’s been a while. Though I knew ahead of time that you would be fighting for us. Glad I wasn’t wrong!
“Equally extraordinary was that before and after this meeting, people I have known for decades, and figured thought much the same way as me, got in touch to tell me I should have nothing to do with this stuff. There might be some element of truth in it but giving ‘these issues’ airtime would do harm”
Extraordinary maybe, but not new or unexpected from my POV. This has been stewing.
Some years ago, there was a discussion on these blogs and on rxisk, about women of child bearing age – should they be informed about the risks antidepressants posed to their unborn baby? Those people that contacted you about ignoring vaccine harms, just hold the same views as those who felt the women shouldn’t be told about the risks for the supposed ‘greater good’. Two words that should give us all nightmares.
Another conversation happened around the same time or shortly after that is especially relevant to today. The idea that we (the non-experts in whatever subject) shouldn’t be allowed to question the experts no matter what our experiences. That the experts – not the fringe experts of course…just the respectable consensus experts, were uniquely able to understand and interpret the truth for the rest of us – like the clergy of our new religion.
My position then and still now is that putting these two lines of thought together, is nothing less than a perfect recipe for tyranny and horror. I was shocked, devastated even, to learn that real people around me, even people involved in these discussions around the harms of medicine, seemed to believe this.
People actually believe that select experts deciding the truth, and then selectively telling us what was true for whatever they decide is the ‘greater good’, is actually a good idea, or would even lead to a ‘greater good’ in some measurable way. I was dumbfounded.
So much so that I left this whole subject as a lost cause, with the belief that while we rattle on about specific side effects and problems with RCTs, the roots were spreading and all signs were that things were going to get much worse. A battle was coming, one that we would lose.
And here we are.
As for Northern Ireland and green v orange. I can say from living here and being of Irish ancestry since records began and beyond, that individual rights v greater good, absolutely trump green v orange, no contest, at least for those on the individual rights side of that argument. The protests in Belfast were the most cross community event I’ve witnessed in NI. While no parties came out on the side of individual rights, a few politicians did, like Paul Frew DUP. I have seen public comments from die-hard nationalists who will be voting for Paul Frew the next chance they get.
I also know that if any nationalist politicians had come out as anti-mandate, anti-measures against children, anti-keeping people from their loved ones deathbed, then the freedom minded orange (at least those under 50) would have seriously considered voting for them…even Sinn Féin.
If the Irish Republic had been independent and went down the road of say, Sweden, rather than going full on authoritarian like the rest of the anglosphere and EU, many NI British passport holders on the individual rights side, would have switched citizenship, fled over the border and backed a United Ireland.
For some of us nothing is more important than this.
One thing I’m curious about is EBMs role in this… I know you’re not a fan. But I noticed that Carl Heneghan (EBM + all trials founder). Tom Jefferson, john Ioannidis, and many others of similar persuasion, have been leading lights in speaking out against the lies and manipulation we’ve experienced. Could it be that on this occasion at least, the emotion free nature of EBM, with data being somewhat immune to the fear, is why many of the leading voices against medical tyranny have actually turned out to be from the EBM camp?
David Healy says
Neil
I don’t think its anything much to do with EBM that’s got Carl H and Tom J doing what they do – and I’m not sure its got much to do with individual liberty. Its more a concern for the greater good. For us. How can it be good for Us to have a lack of access to trial data and all the literature ghost-written? This is leading to a pandemic of over-treatment that is not good for any of us.
Throwing a mandate into a mix like this that is guaranteed to lower our life expectancy and injure many of us, even pre-mandate, is pouring fuel on the fire.
You’re not the first person though that has told me that this crisis might do more to heal divisions in the North than almost anything else has and that the Catholics among them would vote for Paul Frew. Who would have thought Sinn Fein would have become so ‘establishment’ so quickly.
David
Patrick D Hahn says
On Monday, 24 January I attended the forum “COVID-19: A Second Opinion” sponsored by Senator Ron Johnson. Thomas Renz, an attorney who is representing three department of Defense whistleblowers, averred that the rate of serious adverse events among military personnel skyrocketed after the introduction of the COVID-19 vaccine, in comparison to the years 2016-2020. These serious adverse events included:
• A 302% increase in tachycardia
• A 369% increase in testicular cancer
• A 437% increase in ovarian dysfunction
• A 452% increase in migraines
• A 468% increase in pulmonary embolism
• A 472% increase in female infertility
• A 474% increase in neoplasms of the thyroid and other endocrine glands
• A 487% increase in demyelinating
• A 487% increase in breast cancer
• A 551% increase in Guillain-Barre syndrome
• A 624% increase in cancers of the digestive system
• A 680% increase in multiple sclerosis
• A 900% increase in esophageal cancer
• A 1048% increase in diseases of the nervous system
• And a whopping 2200% increase in hypertension
All of these serious adverse events have shown a strong signal in the Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System after the COVID-19 vaccines were introduced.
Mr. Renz provided data downloaded by unnamed DoD from the DMED database personnel validating all this. Senator Johnson fired off a letter to the Department of Defense demanding an explanation.
Shockingly, the mainstream media has completely ignored these claims. Even more shockingly, the DoD contacted the website PolitiFact Check and confirmed all of Renz’s claims, but they attributed the apparent rise in serious adverse events to a “technical glitch” and took the DMED database offline while they took steps to “identify and correct the root-cause of their data corruption.” They subsequently released corrected figures which showed no increase in these serious adverse events in comparison to the years 2016-2020.
Now, we could ask why the DoD contacted PolitiFact Check before responding to the query of a United States Senator, but never mind that for now. Here is the scenario the DoD is asking us to swallow:
1) For the years 2016-2020, there was a shocking rise in serious adverse events among US military personnel, who are mostly young and healthy, and for which no explanation has even been offered
2) The rise in serious adverse events affected only those that were to spike in the VAERS after the introduction of the COVID-19 vaccines
3) No one at the DoD noticed this shocking rise in serious adverse events (“Hey, I’m seeing TWENTY TIMES as many patients with high blood pressure! WTF is going on?”)
4) This glitch mysteriously corrected itself just in time for the COVID-19 vaccine rollout
The mainstream media has completely ignored this story.
How can they get away with this?
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/this-medical-data-from-the-us-dod?r=1zvyi&fbclid=IwAR2wDvmuRZkGGS6ojp8EQNz_iTIDVuqGtyeGl0bXg42mDD6qb6sVeyE8hu0
susanne says
Cost-benefit. Seems they must have vaccines going spare – so opps to experiment on children – but make the parents/carers responsible by making it non obligatory and ‘not urgent’. ‘in advance of a fure wave’ The vaccines don’t last more than few months before another boost is needed .Sacrifical lambs? .
JCVI update on advice for COVID-19 vaccination of children aged 5 to 11
Independent report
JCVI statement on vaccination of children aged 5 to 11 years old
Published 16 February 2022
On 22 December 2021, the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) advised that children aged 5 to 11 years in a clinical risk group, or who are a household contact of someone who is immunosuppressed should be offered primary course vaccination with two 10 microgram (mcg) doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine (Comirnaty®). JCVI has since reviewed evidence on the potential impact of extending COVID-19 vaccination to other children aged 5 to 11. Consideration had been given to the health benefits of vaccination in this age group, the potential educational benefits, and the impact on NHS services of delivering a 2-dose vaccination programme to around 5 million young children.
Advice
JCVI advises a non-urgent offer of two 10 mcg doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine (Comirnaty®) to children aged 5 to 11 years of age who are not in a clinical risk group. The 2 doses should be offered with an interval of at least 12 weeks between doses.
The intention of this offer is to increase the immunity of vaccinated individuals against severe COVID-19 in advance of a potential future wave of COVID-19.
For deployment teams, JCVI advises that:
the offer of COVID-19 vaccination to 5 to 11 year olds who are not in a clinical risk group should not displace the delivery of other paediatric non-COVID-19 or COVID-19 immunisation programmes
delivery of paediatric non-COVID-19 immunisation programmes across all ages should receive due attention, particularly where vaccine coverage has fallen behind due to the COVID-19 pandemic and where there is evidence of health inequalities
use of the Pfizer-BioNTech 10 mcg paediatric formulation vaccine should be encouraged for all pupils in the relevant academic year for children aged 11 to 12 to reduce complexity in programme delivery and expected reactogenic events for individuals
This advice on the offer of vaccination to 5 to 11-year olds who are not in a clinical risk group is considered by JCVI as a one-off pandemic response programme[footnote 1]. As the COVID-19 pandemic moves further towards endemicity in the UK, JCVI will review whether, in the longer term, an offer of vaccination to this, and other paediatric age groups, continues to be advised.
Informed consent
In all instances, the offer of vaccination must be accompanied by appropriate information to enable children, and those with parental responsibility, to provide informed consent prior to vaccination. Teams responsible for the implementation and deployment of COVID-19 vaccination for persons aged 5 to 11 should be appropriately trained and confident regarding the information relevant to the vaccination of these persons.
Key considerations
Most children aged 5 to 11 have asymptomatic or mild disease following infection with SARS-CoV-2. Some may experience post-COVID-19 symptoms lasting longer than a few days. Children aged 5 to 11 years who are not in a COVID-19 clinical risk group are at extremely low risk of developing severe COVID-19 disease (references 1-3). Of those admitted to hospital over the last few weeks comprising the Omicron wave, the average length of hospital stay was 1 to 2 days (reference 4). A proportion of these admissions are for precautionary reasons.
It is estimated that over 85% of all children aged 5 to 11 will have had prior SARS-CoV-2 infection by the end of January 2022 (reference 5), with roughly half of these infections due to the Omicron variant. Natural immunity arising from prior infection will contribute towards protection against future infection and severe disease.
Vaccination of children aged 5 to 11 who are not in a clinical risk group is anticipated to prevent a small number of hospitalisations and intensive care admissions in this population and would provide short-term protection against non-severe infection (asymptomatic and symptomatic infection that does not require hospital-based care). The extent of these impacts is highly uncertain. They are closely related to future levels of infection in the population in the period following vaccination; these in turn are influenced by the timing, size and severity of any future waves of infection, and the characteristics of any new variants that may dominate future waves of infection. Vaccination is commonly associated with systemic and local reactions (such as headache, fatigue and local arm pain) which typically resolve within 1 to 3 days.
Overall, the committee agreed that the potential health benefits of vaccination are greater than the potential health risks when not including the opportunity costs of a programme to vaccinate all children aged 5 to 11 due to this being part of a pandemic response. The impact of vaccination on school absences was indeterminate; the balance between school absences due to reactions following vaccination versus school absences avoided due to prevention of infection is highly influenced by the uncertain timing of any future wave of infection and of the vaccination programme. In particular, school absences are affected by whether an infection wave falls within the period of good protection against non-severe infection provided by the vaccine, and whether vaccination occurs during school term time or holiday periods.
Vaccination of children aged 5 to 11 who are not in a clinical risk group is not expected to have an impact on the current wave of Omicron infection. The potential benefits from vaccination will apply mainly to a future wave of infection; the more severe a future wave, the greater the likely benefits from vaccination. Conversely, the less severe a future wave, the smaller the likely benefits from vaccination.
Detailed considerations……………more on website
TheCovidPilot says
“How to write cleverly about science–an example from Clare Craig”
https://navigatingthecovidconfusion.wordpress.com/2022/02/17/how-to-write-cleverly-about-science-an-example-from-clare-craig/
TheCovidPilot says
Craig looks at the myocarditis risk from covid if covid vaccination is added. And she uses a Nature article to do it. Source material from dailysceptic.
It seems that it is common for journal articles to compare covid risk to vaccination risk, as if vaccination prevents covid. That’s an error in reasoning since it is commonly accepted that covid is endemic and vaccines don’t prevent spread–all they can do is delay a few months. We will be exposed to covid continually.
Patrick D Hahn says
“Consideration had been given to the health benefits of vaccination in this age group, the potential educational benefits, and the impact on NHS services of delivering a 2-dose vaccination programme to around 5 million young children.”
“The potential educational benefits?”
Seriously, dude?
Neil says
Sorry, I think I worded that badly. Not the first time my poor writing has let me down. I wasn’t defending EBM, and I’m aware that it probably underlies most of the problem. I was just curious why so many from that camp seem to be speaking out. Probably just a coincidence.
Regarding ‘greater good’ – our definitions seem to be different. I really hope the greater good is not driving Carl H and Tom J’s work. I would hope that the truth warts and all is what’s really driving them.
As an example of how I understand that term. In the context of NI, greater good is the excuse used to discriminate against working class protestant boys, in an attempt to right the wrong of discrimination against Catholics and females in the past. 20 years on the outcomes of this greater good are visible in every imaginable QOL measure for working class protestant boys. When someone says it’s for the greater good, that just means they are harming someone and adding a justification for it.
I also don’t mean individual liberty when I say individual rights either. just basic individual human rights… to life, bodily integrity, right to work and feed your family, right to free movement in your state, right to say goodbye to your dying mother – not some kind of libertarian thing, just basic human rights. I naïvely thought that morally this wasn’t even up for debate – boy was I wrong!
The trampling of our human rights may be healing that old division in NI, but only because a much deeper division has been opened. This one cuts right through families and lifelong friends. I’ve lost multiple friends to covid evangelism. My close family is split 10 no vax v 16 triple vax. Most have had c19 at some point, and there was no difference in the outcomes between our groups – both groups milder than a flu. Yet the division is extreme and the unvaxed are treated like ebola carriers. If anything the vaxed have been sicker as they all had the ‘supercold’ that lasted 4-5 weeks!
The greater good have achieved the seemingly impossible, by creating divisions in NI that makes the green/orange divide seem irrelevant. Amazing!
If this keeps up the world is in big trouble.
PS. I have an idea for pharma and psychiatry – make an quarterly injectable SSRI and call it a vaccine. Job done.
David Healy says
Neil
We are probably on the same page – my use of greater good was in terms of access to the data from trials. We know there were more deaths on the Pfizer vaccine compared to placebo. If that’s what makes it into print then its likely with proper access things would be even worse. We know harmed and injured people were written out of the script – with access we’d find out just how many harms and injuries.
Once we have that straight – and we means everyone – then we can work out how to reconcile that Sinn Fein and Boris and Joe Biden claims is the gold standard evidence with the data we get fed from hospitals etc as to what is happening there. This does need reconciling but it can’t be done without access to the trial data and more detail about how the hospital figures come about. There is now some distinction between death with Covid and death from Covid for instance.
We are living through some extraordinary times that as you say has pitted and is pitting family members against each other.
I think we are a lot closer to the quarterly injectable SSRI called a vaccine than most people think. The vaccines are now being promoted for kids as emotional comfort blankets and there are calls on all sides to vastly increase the budgets for children’s mental health services which can only mean increased rates of SSRI consumption – which given the difficulties getting off them may not need quarterly injections
David
susanne says
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Nature
16 February 2022
NIH issues a seismic mandate: share data publicly
The data-sharing policy could set a global standard for biomedical research, scientists say, but they have questions about logistics and equity.
The US National Institutes of Health, located in Bethesda, Maryland, is the world’s largest funder of biomedical research.Credit: Grandbrothers/Alamy
In January 2023, the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) will begin requiring most of the 300,000 researchers and 2,500 institutions it funds annually to include a data-management plan in their grant applications — and to eventually make their data publicly available.
The mandate, in part, aims to tackle the reproducibility crisis in scientific research. Last year, a US$2-million, eight-year attempt to replicate influential cancer studies found that fewer than half of the assessed experiments stood up to scrutiny. Efforts to tally the cost of irreproducible research in the United States have found that $10 billion to $50 billion is spent on studies that use deficient methods, a cost that is mostly fronted by public funding agencies.
“We want to make sure that we’re making good on the nation’s investment and fostering transparency and accountability in research,”
Joseph Ross, a health-policy researcher at Yale School of Medicine in New Haven, Connecticut, says the mandate’s effects will be felt far beyond US borders because the NIH is the world’s largest public funder of biomedical research. Ensuring that the policy sets the right tone is important, Ross says, because it will signal to scientists all over the world how biomedical research should be done.
A seismic shift
Under the new policy, which will go into effect on 25 January, all NIH grant applications for projects that collect scientific data must include a ‘data management and sharing’ (DMS) plan that contains details about the software or tools needed to analyse the data, when and where the raw data will be published and any special considerations for accessing or distributing that data.
Such a seismic shift in practice has left some researchers worried about the amount of work that the mandate will require when it becomes effective.
Science misinformation alarms Francis Collins as he leaves top NIH job
Because the vast majority of laboratories and institutions don’t have data managers who organize and curate data, the policy — although well-intentioned — will probably put a heavy burden on trainees and early-career principal investigators, says Lynda Coughlan,
Jorgenson says that, although the policy might require researchers to spend extra time organizing their data, it’s an essential part of conducting research, and the potential long-term boost in public trust for science will justify the extra effort.
As part of the data-sharing policy, when a research project is complete or when its grant expires — whichever comes first — NIH programme officers will review the DMS plan to ensure that researchers have adhered to it. At that time, the policy stipulates that researchers must share any ‘scientific data’ needed to “validate and replicate research findings, regardless of whether the data are used to support scholarly publications” — although it makes an exception in cases where data sharing would pose a significant legal, ethical or technical burden. The NIH recommends that this data be shared only in a reputable repository; ultimately, researchers will decide where to upload the information.
The broad term ‘scientific data’ has left some researchers confused about exactly what information they’ll be required to share. It’s hard to predict which data might be useful for other researchers, or whether that data will ever be accessed by anyone, Coughlan says.
Jorgenson says that data collected when experiments don’t work — and therefore that are not in publications — are just as important to communicate, because they include information that could help other researchers to understand the full context of an experiment’s success. ..
”””, Nosek worries that some applicants might not take it seriously if there are no consequences for non-compliance. Jorgenson responds that if the policy is not followed, future funding awards for researchers or institutions could be jeopardized.
Despite its potential pitfalls, Ross thinks that the policy will have a ripple effect that will persuade smaller funding agencies and industry to adopt similar changes. “This policy establishes what people expect from clinical research,” he says. “It’s essentially saying the culture of research needs to change.”
doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-00402-1
susanne says
Turning Point USA
End Vaccine Mandates for America’s Youth!
Students across America are being forced to choose between taking an experimental vaccine or being denied an education.
Medical decisions should be made between students, parents, and doctors — NOT bureaucrats at colleges and universities!
Join Turning Point USA and students across America in demanding an end to vaccine mandates NOW!
______________________________
National Open Letter Against Forced COVID Vaccinations
To: College and University presidents and school boards across America
Ladies and gentlemen,
I, a Real American and a concerned citizen, demand that you end your burdensome and unnecessary vaccine requirement for the students at your schools.
These policies are forcing students to share their medical information in violation of their right to privacy. They are impeding students’ academic progress. They are an exercise of power that you simply do not have.
Thousands of students and parents across America have made it clear—they don’t want this vaccine, and you can’t force them to take it. End your draconian policies today!
Have an account?Sign in or go to website to sign petition
annie says
Here come the American truckers
The Englishman –
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=132x9tfGbfs
The Scotsman –
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oPIVjCy2Zjo
Trudeau’s trucker crackdown begins: Hundreds of cops backed by armored vehicles and horses start arresting Freedom Convoy protesters in Ottawa and towing their big rigs as they use powers granted by Emergencies Act
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10527501/Ottawa-police-chief-warns-truckers-face-forcible-removal.html
Citing the ‘exceptional circumstances’ of the police action, Canada’s Parliament suspended Friday’s debate on Trudeau’s emergency powers, sparing the Liberal leader another day of uncomfortable speeches from MPs who fiercely oppose his use of the draconian Emergencies Act.
Conservative Parliamentarian Jeremy Patzer told the House of Commons on Thursday that people around the world were alarmed to see Trudeau ‘come down on peaceful protesters with a sledgehammer.’
‘It is absolutely shameful,’ he added.
chris says
Anyone know if this is for real anyone know this man..
https://rumble.com/vv4v7f-project-veritas-exposes-close-ties-between-fda-and-pharmaceutical-companies.html
chris says
“What’s the reason behind vaccinating children against a disease that possess less of a risk to them than seasonal flu?”
https://twitter.com/LozzaFox/status/1494322314447491072?cxt=HHwWgMCoycmO87wpAAAA
susanne says
They’ve already vaccinated thousands of toddlers and teenagers now they come for the tiddlers. What next foetuses in the womb, newborns or is this to be job done when pregnant woment are vaccinated.
February 12, 2022
12:08 AM GMT
Last Updated 8 days ago
U.S. COVID vaccine for children under 5 delayed by at least 2 months
By Michael Erman
Feb 11 (Reuters) – A U.S. decision on Pfizer (PFE.N) and BioNTech’s COVID-19 vaccine for infants and children 6 months through 4 years of age has been postponed for at least two months after the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) said it needed more data.
The FDA had planned to decide on the vaccine based on early trial data as soon as next week with the government planning to roll it out on Feb. 21. It had asked Pfizer to speed up its application as the Omicron variant of the coronavirus caused a surge of infections, including among children.
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On Friday, the agency said it had reviewed new trial information that arrived after Pfizer and BioNTech’s request for emergency authorization and decided it needed more data before weighing in on the authorization.
The FDA said parents anxiously awaiting the vaccine for the roughly 18 million children in the age group should be reassured that the agency is taking the time to make sure it meets the standard it has set for authorization.
“If something does not meet that standard, we can’t proceed forward,” said Dr. Peter Marks, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. Marks noted some of the new data that pushed the FDA to delay the decision was “late-breaking.”
Pfizer and BioNTech had submitted data on the first two doses of a planned three-dose regimen earlier this month at the request of the FDA. It did not disclose efficacy data.
The submission was surprising because in December the companies said early trial results of the two low doses of the vaccine fell short of expectations, and it amended its clinical trial to test a three-dose version.
The companies said on Friday that they expect to have data on three shots in early April.
“It makes sense to wait for the safety and efficacy data on all three doses to be available before we make a decision about this vaccine,” said Dr. Paul Offit from Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia.
Offit is a member of the FDA’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee that had been scheduled to vote on whether to recommend authorization of the shot for kids under 5 on Tuesday. The meeting was postponed.
THIRD DOSE
The primary series of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine has been two doses in all older age groups. But Pfizer began testing a third dose of the vaccine in the younger age group because early results showed the lower dose generated an immune response in 2- to 4-year-olds that was inferior to the response measured in those aged 16 to 25 in previous clinical trials.
In 6- month- to 24-month-old children, the vaccine generated an immune response in line with 16- to 25-year-olds
susanne says
The Peoples’ Convoy is ready to go in America
Robert W Malone MD, MS
Feb 20
Email: thepeoplesconvoy@protonmail.com
American Truckers are launching The People’s Convoy, a peaceful and unified transcontinental movement, on February 23 from Adelanto Stadium in Southern California
The truckers encourage one and all to come out to the stadium in the heart of Adelanto, California to wish them well, see them off and join in the journey.
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
For media inquiries contact:
Email: thepeoplesconvoy@protonmail.com
This convoy is about freedom and unity: the truckers are riding unified across party and state lines and with people of all colors and creeds – All individuals are welcome to participate by either attending the launch gathering – at 10:00 a.m. on Wednesday February 23, at Adelanto Stadium – or by getting in their own vehicles and following the big rigs from Adelanto toward the east coast!
The message of The People’s Convoy is simple. The last 23 months of the COVID-19 pandemic have been a rough road for all Americans to travel: spiritually, emotionally, physically, and – not least – financially. With the advent of the vaccine and workable therapeutic agents, along with the hard work of so many sectors that contributed to declining COVID-19 cases and severity of illness, it is now time to re-open the country. To that end, it’s time for elected officials to work with the blue collar and white-collar workers of America and restore accountability and liberty – by lifting all mandates and ending the state of emergency – as COVID is well-in-hand now, and Americans need to get back to work in a free and unrestricted manner.
susanne says
1 of 1
We the people, demand to see the data!
Inbox
7:25 PM (34 minutes ago)
CDC withholding evidence concerning COVID vaccine safety is scientific fraud.
Robert W Malone MD, MS
Feb 21
The C.D.C. Isn’t Publishing Large Portions of the Covid Data It Collects New York Times, February 21, 2022
The agency has withheld critical data on boosters, hospitalizations…
“Two full years into the pandemic, the agency leading the country’s response to the public health emergency has published only a tiny fraction of the data it has collected, several people familiar with the data said. Much of the withheld information could help state and local health officials better target their efforts to bring the virus under control”…
“The C.D.C. is a political organization as much as it is a public health organization,” said Samuel Scarpino, managing director of pathogen surveillance at the Rockefeller Foundation’s Pandemic Prevention Institute. “The steps that it takes to get something like this released are often well outside of the control of many of the scientists that work at the C.D.C.”
Let me translate that quote for you. Basically, a non-governmental spokesperson for the “official” public health scientific community is throwing Rochelle Walinsky under the bus, and saying that the politicians forced us to commit scientific fraud by withholding key data.
The Global Summit Doctors and other brave medical practitioners who have stood up to the lies and tyranny – who have been harassed, jobs lost, medical licenses lost, smeared and libeled are right. The data are being withheld.
The main stream media owes a whole lot of us scientist and physicians a huge apology. The main stream media has to stop being the mouthpiece for the government. This is not communist China!
The government owes the American people a huge apology. People in the government who have lied to the American people need to be charged and must be held legally accountable. We the people must demand to see ALL of the data from the CDC and the FDA.
Let’s talk data. The CDC is using cumulative data from the beginning of the vaccine roll-out in early 2021 to prop up the lie that these vaccines are effective against Omicron.
The CDC is clearly hiding the data about safety. The (thoroughly biased) NYT piece above writes further on this.
Pfizer’s data supported the safety of the vaccine, but researchers said the effectiveness wasn’t there with two shots.
“It was effective in the younger kids so those six months to two years but in the two to four-year-old age group it didn’t quite meet the levels of antibody response they expected to see,” said Dr. Christina Canody, BayCare Pediatric Service Line Medical Director.
Now instead of just having an EUA meeting about two doses, Pfizer is continuing their trial for three doses and will present that data once they have it.
Precisely what we have been saying.
Why is this important?
The FDA have not revealed what the efficacy of the boosters for children is. They have not released the safety data. They have withheld the safety data on the vaccines for children and adults.
This must stop. We are deep into outright Scientific Fraud territory.
Let’s remember where this started… We have been manipulated from the VERY start of this pandemic. The government has been deciding what has been written, removed, censored by media and the big tech giants. This is propaganda.
I am posting the HISTORIC references from the beginning of 2020 to show that our government has been involved in scientific fraud from the beginning. Do not forget – this goes back to 2020.
Continued in detail…………